On to my usual review of the year (last years here). We are slightly shy of the full year end but I recon I am up about 20.5%. This is in my usual 20-22% range. It is below that of the (not comparable) NASDAQ (at 27% (in USD) and behind the S&P500 – at 25.82% (in USD). The UK All share was 17.9% and the FTSE 100 was at 18.1%. There has been a decrease in market breadth which is traditionally a sign of a top. Index performance in the US is driven by tech and healthcare, sectors which I hold next to nothing in, so to *roughly* keep up given my idiosyncratic portfolio is actually a sign of strength. One can’t sensibly benchmark my portfolio against anything as it’s just so odd, but I need to so that I can determine whether I am wasting my time.Continue reading “2021 Performance / Portfolio Review a slightly disappointing +20.5%”
Lots going on in the portfolio so I thought I would give a quick update.
At the end of Q1 I was +4% ytd, now (14/4/2020) I am c+11%. This should be compared to the index which is -c22% now, at the low I was down c5% for the year. I feel a little bad posting this as lots of this is from non-usual (for me) trades… Many of these, I put on Twitter, unfortunately, I can’t post everything as it may move prices against me, particularly where I only sell half. I know many of you are not twitter followers. If you would like an e-mail when I tweet there is a service for that here.
Quick Portfolio Review – Q1 has been pretty poor for me – up 1.3%. vs 9% for the FTSE All share.
This is despite being up at various points. My general policy of not runing a stop loss has hurt me. It might be time on my more liquid holdings to consider putting stop losses in. This is very much a function of where we are in the cycle – likely near the top / end and not a general policy. Whilst some people would say that not having stop losses is irredemably reckless I would disagree.
As 2018 is almost over I think it’s time to review the portfolio and performance.
Overall result is -13%. Somewhat depends on calculations – I use broker day end values. so more or less… This can be compared to -9.7% FTSE all share (total return), far below my 30% target for the year. Many ideas havent worked this year so what has saved me is profit which was really from 2017 and rolled over the year end in the calculation – particularly Tejoori.
Long term performance has been strong – still 7X up over the last 10 years – long term chart below: Continue reading “2018 Performance / Portfolio Review -13%, could be worse”
Have just bought back in to DCI at 6.3p 4.4% portfolio weight. I am easing up on weights a bit as I have not had a particularly good run of ideas of late, better to be careful before I get my mojo back!
Quick refresh this is a luxury resort developer, mostly in Grece I bought in Dec 2016 before selling out at evens in April 2017.
Changed my mind on DCI. This is not to say I wont get back in if the price falls more.
I am getting out more or less flat. Announcement that they are going to use Pearl Island cash for working capital and that:
“ The Board will re-evaluate the Company’s distribution potential when there is more clarity on the pace of additional disposals.”
Makes me think selling these assets may take a while longer than I initially expected… I’m also more concerned about the price… I always was a bit concerned about the quality of this one…
2016 is almost over so I thought I would go through what worked, what didnt and my plans for 2017.
+33% is OK – FTSE100 is up 14%, 250 up 3% AIM all share 14%. Peak to trough draw-downs across these are about 10% where as my portfolio (OK measured monthly) was only down 5% from peak at its worst.
My review of 2015 is interesting putting this in context. I anticipated that TRB and SIHL would do well but not that I would come up with other good ideas or that TJI would do well.
Bought some DCI a couple of weeks ago at 7.25 – 4.7% portfolio weight. Picked up more today at 8p – now a 6.8% portfolio weight. They released an RNS in Mid November – basically selling property and paying down debt. I thought this significantly derisked the company. On Friday 2nd they announced an EGM – they are moving into liquidation mode.
They are a resort development company. They have just sold Playa Grande at 10% below Nav and paid down debt. They now have a debt to total assets ratio of 18.5%. Factsheet is here.
#EDIT 8/4/2017 – sold out flat – concerned this might take longer than expected – below may still hold though…